Racing Tips Today – Thursday 5 November
Last updated · 6 meetings · 45 races
Today's strongest bets
- ★ NAP 15:40 Chelmsford Charging Thunder
- Next best 18:00 Southwell Modern Times
- Each-way 14:53 Southwell Oneforthegutter
- Lucky 15 Charging Thunder, Modern Times, Oneforthegutter, National Pride
Best odds on our next tips
Best price across 34 UK bookmakers · prices at 14:47 GMT
Clonmel
Good · next off 15:10 · 3 races · Ireland
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Clonmel
Grade 2 chase (2m5f, Good To Yielding)
Selection:
Il Etait TempsNR now Kappa Jy Pyke (W. P. Mullins / Paul Townend)Has the best recent performance figure in the race (149) and holds the highest official rating in the field (151).
Best price 1/4
24 bookmakers
1/4
1/41/4
Market average 1.21 (decimal) · market chance 83% · prices at 14:47 GMT
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Clonmel
Handicap chase (2m1f, Good To Yielding)
Selection: Onefortheditch (Eamonn Francis Gallagher / Alan O'Sullivan (5)) e-w
Has the second-best recent performance figure in the race (103) and comes from a stable running to form (35% of its runners).
Best price 5/1
23 bookmakers
5/15/1
9/2
Market average 5.28 (decimal) · market chance 19% · prices at 14:47 GMT
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Clonmel
Bumper (2m½f, Good)
Selection: Distraction (David A Kiely / Mr J L Gleeson) e-w
Has the best recent performance figure in the race (102) and comes from a stable running to form (52% of its runners).
Best price 3/1
24 bookmakers
3/1
3/1
3/1
Market average 3.89 (decimal) · market chance 26% · prices at 14:47 GMT
Newcastle
Good · next off 15:15 · 2 races · Great Britain
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Newcastle
Class 5 handicap chase (2m4f, Good)
Selection: Party In The Park (Ann Hamilton / Danny McMenamin) e-w
Has the best recent performance figure in the race (108) and comes from a stable running to form (62% of its runners).
Best price 13/2
25 bookmakers
13/2
13/26/1
Market average 6.42 (decimal) · market chance 16% · prices at 14:47 GMT
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Newcastle
Class 5 bumper (2m1f, Good)
Selection: Hubris (Sara Ender / James Best) e-w
Has the best recent performance figure in the race (121) and comes from a stable running to form (40% of its runners).
Best price 17/2
25 bookmakers
17/2
17/2
- Midnite17/2
Market average 8.76 (decimal) · market chance 11% · prices at 14:47 GMT
Plumpton
Good · next off 15:22 · 2 races · Great Britain
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Plumpton
Class 3 handicap chase (2m4f, Good)
Selection: Kdeux Saint Fray (Anthony Honeyball / Chad Bament (5))
Has the best recent performance figure in the race (138) and holds the highest official rating in the field (129).
Best price 6/4
25 bookmakers
6/4
6/4
6/4
Market average 2.41 (decimal) · market chance 42% · prices at 14:47 GMT
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Plumpton
Class 5 handicap hurdle (2m, Good)
Selection: Stroll On By (Charlie Longsdon / Lilly Pinchin)
Has the best recent performance figure in the race (112) and comes from a yard in form (5 winners from 13 runners in 14 days).
Best price 15/2
25 bookmakers
15/2
15/215/2
Market average 7.80 (decimal) · market chance 13% · prices at 14:47 GMT
Southwell
Standard · next off 15:28 · 7 races · Great Britain
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Southwell
Class 5 handicap (1m, Standard)
Selection: Signcastle City (Richard Hannon / Sean Levey)
Has the best recent performance figure in the race (80) and the top speed figure here (80).
Best price 3/1
25 bookmakers
3/1
3/1
3/1
Market average 3.90 (decimal) · market chance 26% · prices at 14:47 GMT
-
Southwell
Class 3 novice stakes (7f, Standard)
Selection: Fenaroli (Harry Charlton / Colin Keane)
Shows steady recent form (3) and comes from a yard in form (2 winners from 7 runners in 14 days).
Best price 2/5
25 bookmakers
2/5
2/5
2/5
Market average 1.36 (decimal) · market chance 74% · prices at 14:47 GMT
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Southwell
Class 5 fillies' handicap (7f, Standard)
Selection: Enola Grey (Gemma Tutty / Laura Coughlan (3)) e-w
Has the top speed figure here (81) and is a course-and-distance winner.
Best price 7/1
25 bookmakers
7/1
7/1
7/1
Market average 7.48 (decimal) · market chance 13% · prices at 14:47 GMT
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Southwell
Class 6 nursery (6f, Standard)
Selection: Quiet Soul (Michael Herrington / Jason Hart) e-w
Has the best recent performance figure in the race (79) and comes from a yard in form (4 winners from 16 runners in 14 days).
Best price 11/1
23 bookmakers
11/1
11/1
10/1
Market average 10.57 (decimal) · market chance 10% · prices at 14:47 GMT
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Southwell
Class 5 fillies' maiden (6f, Standard)
Selection: Hoya Bella (James Owen / David Probert)
Comes from a yard in form (15 winners from 57 runners in 14 days) and holds the highest official rating in the field (69).
Best price 5/2
25 bookmakers
5/2
5/2
5/2
Market average 3.34 (decimal) · market chance 30% · prices at 14:47 GMT
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Southwell
Class 5 handicap (division 1) (6f, Standard)
Selection: Modern Times (James Owen / Mason Paetel (3)) Next best of the day
Has the second-best recent performance figure in the race (83) and the second-best speed figure here (77).
Best price 5/2
25 bookmakers
5/2
5/2
5/2
Market average 3.41 (decimal) · market chance 29% · prices at 14:47 GMT
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Southwell
Class 5 handicap (division 2) (6f, Standard)
Selection: Prince of Pillo (Richard & Peter Fahey / Jack Garritty)
Has the top speed figure here (77) and is a course-and-distance winner.
Best price 11/4
24 bookmakers
11/4
11/4
11/4
Market average 3.72 (decimal) · market chance 27% · prices at 14:47 GMT
Newbury
Good To Soft · next off 15:33 · 2 races · Great Britain
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Newbury
Class 4 bumper (division 1) (2m½f, Good To Soft)
Selection: Wordfromhome (Paul Nicholls / Sam Twiston-Davies)
Won last time out and comes from a yard in form (5 winners from 27 runners in 14 days).
Best price 6/4
24 bookmakers
6/4
6/4
6/4
Market average 2.38 (decimal) · market chance 42% · prices at 14:47 GMT
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Newbury
Class 4 bumper (division 2) (2m½f, Good To Soft)
Selection: Newgrove (Dan Skelton / Harry Skelton)
Won last time out and comes from a yard in form (16 winners from 86 runners in 14 days).
Best price 10/11
25 bookmakers
10/1110/11
5/6
Market average 1.80 (decimal) · market chance 55% · prices at 14:47 GMT
Chelmsford
Standard · next off 15:40 · 6 races · Great Britain
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Chelmsford
Class 4 handicap (2m, Standard)
Selection: Charging Thunder (James Owen / Christian Howarth (3)) ★ NAP
Has the best recent performance figure in the race (92) and won last time out.
Best price 2/1
23 bookmakers
2/1
2/1
19/10
Market average 2.80 (decimal) · market chance 36% · prices at 14:47 GMT
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Chelmsford
Class 4 handicap (7½f, Standard)
Selection: Sea Founder (Richard Hughes / Finley Marsh) e-w
Has the best recent performance figure in the race (81) and the top speed figure here (77).
Best price 11/1
21 bookmakers
11/1
11/1
11/1
Market average 11.48 (decimal) · market chance 9% · prices at 14:47 GMT
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Chelmsford
Class 2 novice stakes (7½f, Standard)
Selection: Tough Decision (Tom Clover / David Egan)
Won last time out and has won over this trip before.
Best price 5/6
23 bookmakers
5/6
5/6
5/6
Market average 1.82 (decimal) · market chance 55% · prices at 14:47 GMT
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Chelmsford
Class 5 nursery (7f, Standard)
Selection: National Pride (William Haggas / Cieren Fallon)
Has the best recent performance figure in the race (81) and the top speed figure here (80).
Best price 15/8
23 bookmakers
15/8
15/8
15/8
Market average 2.84 (decimal) · market chance 35% · prices at 14:47 GMT
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Chelmsford
Class 4 novice stakes (7f, Standard)
Selection: Missmisfortune (Charlie Pike / Rossa Ryan)
Comes from a stable running to form (69% of its runners).
Best price 11/8
23 bookmakers
11/8
11/8
11/8
Market average 2.23 (decimal) · market chance 45% · prices at 14:47 GMT
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Chelmsford
Class 6 handicap (6f, Standard)
Selection: Pull The Rug (Grace Harris / David Egan) e-w
Has the top speed figure here (70) and the second-best recent performance figure in the race (67).
Best price 11/1
23 bookmakers
11/1
11/111/1
Market average 11.39 (decimal) · market chance 9% · prices at 14:47 GMT
Results so far
| Race | Our tip | Result | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|
| Chelmsford | Chaise Longue | Off at 15:05, result to follow | |
| Newbury | Percy de Courcy | Off at 14:58, result to follow | |
| Southwell | Oneforthegutter | Off at 14:53, result to follow | |
| Plumpton | Central Command | Off at 14:47, result to follow | |
| Newcastle | Looking Splendid | Won at 9/2 | Looking Splendid (GB) 9/2 |
| Clonmel | A Snow White Park | Won at 8/11F | A Snow White Park (IRE) 8/11F |
| Chelmsford | Eighty Eight | Won at 11/10F | Eighty Eight (IRE) 11/10F |
| Newbury | Gowel Road | Lost, finished 9 | Masaccio (IRE) 33/1 |
| Southwell | Little Jaybee | Lost, finished 9 | Fletcher's Flight (IRE) 100/30F |
| Plumpton | Enjoy d'Allen | Lost, finished 4 | Diplomatic Ash (IRE) 4/1 |
| Newcastle | Bold Light | Lost, finished 6 | Bogha Baiste (IRE) 11/2 |
| Clonmel | Nelson Muntz | Lost, finished 3 | J'arrive De L'est (FR) 8/1 |
| Chelmsford | Saahir | Placed 2nd at 9/1 | Far Far Out (IRE) 20/1 |
| Newbury | Connells Cross | Placed 3rd at 11/1 | Royal Response (IRE) 3/1 |
| Plumpton | Jenny France | Won at 4/7F | Jenny France (IRE) 4/7F |
| Newcastle | Letterston Lady | Lost, finished 7 | William Yeats (GB) 100/30 |
| Clonmel | Pros And Cons | Lost, finished 7 | Rokanako (IRE) 10/11F |
| Newbury | Moments Away | Lost, finished 5 | Presley (IRE) 85/40 |
| Plumpton | Sweet Caryline | Lost, finished 3 | Marlacoo (IRE) 2/1J |
| Newcastle | Ludois | Placed 2nd at 4/1 | Brace For Landing (IRE) 9/4 |
| Clonmel | Midtown Manhattan | Lost, finished RO | Unflinching (FR) 11/8 |
| Newbury | Faivoir | Placed 3rd at 14/1 | Zarakerjack (FR) 4/1 |
| Plumpton | Bond Broker | Won at 6/4 | Bond Broker (IRE) 6/4 |
How our racing tips are picked
We put forward a single selection for every race on today's UK and Irish cards. Every pick comes from our own ratings model. Recent performance and speed figures go into the model, along with the official rating and form over the last four runs. Course and distance wins count too, and so does the form that the trainer's horses have shown in the past 14 days. The reason under each horse lists its two strongest factors.
Our NAP goes to the selection that shows the strongest advantage over the field. The horse that ranks second by that standard is next best. Our each-way pick is the best chance of being placed at odds of 4/1 or higher, when the field holds at least eight runners. We rate four picks more strongly than the rest, and no two of them cover the same race. Together they make the Lucky 15.
When a selection ends up as a non-runner, we strike it out and post a replacement before the off. Tomorrow's tips go live at 18:00. All times we show are UK time: GMT in winter, BST in summer. The time of our latest update appears at the top of the list.
Each selection comes with the highest price available at UK bookmakers, and tapping it reveals the next best prices. Every tip settles at the starting price, and the stake is one point, whether it wins or loses. You can check the full record on our results page.